NFL 2019 Week 4: Titans vs. Falcons Betting Prediction 9/29/2019
The Tennessee Titans opened the season with a big win and then deflated losing two divisions. This week they look for their second victory and they will do it against Atlanta Falcons who have been their worst enemy in the first 3 dates.
The Titans had no chance to beat the Jaguars in the TNF of Week 3. The Jags scored them 2 touchdowns early and dedicated themselves to defend the result. The Titans have a little-operational offensive. At this point they seem to depend on what Derrick Henry can do on the ground, because Marcus Mariota is just completing 60% of his passes and his receivers don’t show up with constancy, no WR has scored touchdown yet.
The Titans add up to 11 conversions in third-down in 37 attempts, a poor number. The worst thing about the game against Jaguars were the 9 captures Mariota ate, and that’s 17 in total for the Tennessee QB. There is still a week to go before the return of Taylor Lewan, the LT of the team. Tennessee’s defense has been better by air than by land, which is good in the face of a Falcons offensive that has relied heavily on its quarterback, who is having a bad season for now.
There’s still plenty of time to recover, but after three weeks in the championship, the Falcons are the team that has disappointed us the most. We thought we’d see the Falcons taking advantage of a weak schedule to climb to the top of NFC South, and even more so when Drew Brees was injured, but that’s not the case. They’ve shot themselves in the foot on multiple occasions, losing the turnovers battle in both team defeats. Devonta Freeman barely showed up with a decent game this week, so his ground offensive could improve and help his QB.
The bad ground position has not helped a defense that has also been unable to stop its rivals in third down and inside the red zone. Everything has come together for the bad start, even now the injury of Keanu Neal, who will be out for the rest of the year. The Falcons won their home debut and will look to do so again. Dan Quinn has to find the formula for this defense to stop opponents and force turnovers. They’ve generated 5 sacks, so let’s see how many they can achieve against Tennessee’s lame OL.
The Falcons are in a new plague of injuries as in 2018. Neal’s aforementioned injury is joined by Grady Jarrett, Takkarist McKinley, Calvin Ridley, De’Vondre Campbell, and Kaleb McGary as doubts for this week. The Titans arrive quite well physically, only Delanie Walker has knee problems.
According to Sportsinsights, 60% of the bettors are taking the Falcons for more than 4 points this week.